Tuesday, January 31, 2017

FOMC preview: Hints of a dovish tilt?

I had been meaning to write about a preview of the upcoming FOMC meeting. Here are the elements of the Yellen Labor Market Dashboard, courtesy of Bloomberg.

As you can see, many of the components have either fully or nearly recovered from the depths of the GFC, with the glaring exception of a subpar labor force participation rate. These factors put pressure on the Fed to start normalizing rates.

However, there is one important exception that may cause the Fed to have a slightly more dovish tilt than the market expects.

The full post can be found at our new site here.

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